Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#145
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#131
Pace72.4#69
Improvement+2.7#62

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#172
First Shot+1.1#147
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#272
Layup/Dunks-0.1#182
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#299
Freethrows+2.8#31
Improvement+1.2#112

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#127
First Shot+2.4#102
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#291
Layups/Dunks+1.1#124
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#193
Freethrows+0.9#116
Improvement+1.5#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 255   @ Drake W 79-74 65%     1 - 0 +2.1 +5.6 -3.4
  Nov 13, 2016 239   Bowling Green W 78-72 79%     2 - 0 -1.3 -2.0 +0.4
  Nov 21, 2016 147   Kent St. W 80-77 50%     3 - 0 +4.1 +3.1 +0.7
  Nov 22, 2016 53   Houston L 58-85 20%     3 - 1 -17.0 -7.7 -10.6
  Nov 23, 2016 187   Hofstra L 57-65 58%     3 - 2 -9.0 -15.0 +5.1
  Nov 27, 2016 198   Montana W 72-67 71%     4 - 2 +0.3 +5.3 -4.2
  Nov 30, 2016 224   @ UMKC L 82-84 60%     4 - 3 -3.4 +2.9 -6.2
  Dec 03, 2016 99   @ Nebraska L 61-73 29%     4 - 4 -5.0 -10.9 +6.7
  Dec 07, 2016 243   Montana St. W 74-57 79%     5 - 4 +9.6 -3.0 +12.7
  Dec 10, 2016 283   Sacramento St. W 72-56 85%     6 - 4 +5.8 -6.0 +12.2
  Dec 16, 2016 265   Portland L 82-85 76%     6 - 5 -9.3 +1.8 -10.8
  Dec 18, 2016 243   @ Montana St. W 80-68 63%     7 - 5 +9.6 +7.9 +2.2
  Dec 21, 2016 1   @ Gonzaga L 65-102 2%     7 - 6 -10.1 -3.2 -2.1
  Dec 29, 2016 169   Nebraska Omaha W 86-69 64%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +14.4 +4.2 +9.1
  Dec 31, 2016 175   @ South Dakota St. L 72-73 46%     8 - 7 1 - 1 +1.1 -1.9 +3.0
  Jan 04, 2017 194   @ Denver W 75-69 51%     9 - 7 2 - 1 +6.9 +0.3 +6.6
  Jan 07, 2017 205   IUPUI W 85-74 73%     10 - 7 3 - 1 +5.6 +5.4 +0.0
  Jan 11, 2017 167   North Dakota St. L 69-70 64%     10 - 8 3 - 2 -3.5 -1.2 -2.4
  Jan 14, 2017 148   Purdue Fort Wayne W 66-63 60%     11 - 8 4 - 2 +1.5 -6.1 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2017 234   @ Oral Roberts L 80-90 62%     11 - 9 4 - 3 -12.1 +0.0 -11.6
  Jan 25, 2017 296   Western Illinois W 62-55 87%     12 - 9 5 - 3 -4.2 -15.3 +11.1
  Jan 28, 2017 194   Denver W 88-83 70%     13 - 9 6 - 3 +0.8 +6.2 -5.7
  Feb 01, 2017 169   @ Nebraska Omaha L 83-91 45%     13 - 10 6 - 4 -5.5 -0.8 -3.7
  Feb 04, 2017 167   @ North Dakota St. W 76-66 45%     14 - 10 7 - 4 +12.5 +8.3 +4.7
  Feb 08, 2017 148   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 93-82 41%     15 - 10 8 - 4 +14.6 +10.9 +2.7
  Feb 11, 2017 175   South Dakota St. W 91-89 65%     16 - 10 9 - 4 -0.9 +16.8 -17.6
  Feb 18, 2017 234   Oral Roberts W 86-72 78%     17 - 10 10 - 4 +6.9 +10.1 -2.8
  Feb 23, 2017 296   @ Western Illinois W 92-81 76%     18 - 10 11 - 4 +4.8 +14.8 -10.2
  Feb 25, 2017 205   @ IUPUI W 92-85 56%     19 - 10 12 - 4 +6.7 +8.1 -2.0
  Mar 04, 2017 296   Western Illinois W 78-69 OT 82%     20 - 10 +0.3 -5.4 +4.8
  Mar 06, 2017 175   South Dakota St. L 71-74 56%     20 - 11 -3.4 -4.5 +1.0
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%